Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-27
Porto – Nacional
Home
78%
1.29 fair
Draw
16%
6.34 fair
Away
7%
15.27 fair
Expected Goals2.76
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score34%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
78.0%
→
77.7%
-0.3 pp
Draw
15.6%
→
15.8%
+0.2 pp
Away
6.4%
→
6.6%
+0.1 pp
Over 2.5
53.1%
→
52.2%
-0.9 pp
Both teams to score
35.1%
→
34.2%
-0.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.8 →
2.76
-0.04
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.34 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.27 | — | |||
| 93.5% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — |
Half-time result
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.04 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 92.9% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — |
Both halves
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — |
HT/FT
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.26 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.15 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 89.5% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.88 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 8.7% | 11.53 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.27 | — |
Total goals
| 93.6% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — |
Home team goals
| 89.5% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — |
Away team goals
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.11 | — |
Both to score
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — |
Corners
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — |
Home corners
| 89.9% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — |
Away corners
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.78 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.84 | — |
Cards
| 87.4% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds