Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-27
Gil Vicente – Arouca
Home
43%
2.33 fair
Draw
27%
3.68 fair
Away
30%
3.34 fair
Expected Goals2.35
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.5%
→
43.0%
+0.4 pp
Draw
27.1%
→
27.2%
+0.1 pp
Away
30.4%
→
29.9%
-0.5 pp
Over 2.5
43.6%
→
42.3%
-1.3 pp
Both teams to score
48.8%
→
47.0%
-1.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.42 →
2.35
-0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Both halves
| 11.0% | 9.11 | — |
HT/FT
| 28.8% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.42 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.74 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.76 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.65 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.1 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.9 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.1% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — |
Total goals
| 90.5% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — |
Both to score
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — |
Corners
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — |
Away corners
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.79 | — |
Cards
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds