Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-27
Estoril – Alverca
Home
41%
2.42 fair
Draw
25%
4.03 fair
Away
34%
2.95 fair
Expected Goals2.79
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.4%
→
41.3%
-1.1 pp
Draw
25.0%
→
24.8%
-0.2 pp
Away
32.6%
→
33.9%
+1.3 pp
Over 2.5
54.6%
→
52.7%
-1.9 pp
Both teams to score
58.0%
→
56.2%
-1.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.86 →
2.79
-0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.4% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 11.0% | 9.09 | — |
HT/FT
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.32 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.5 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.85 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.79 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.15 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.99 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.85 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
Total goals
| 93.9% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — |
Away team goals
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
Both to score
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
Corners
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — |
Home corners
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.07 | — |
Away corners
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — |
Cards
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds