Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-27

Casa Pia – Famalicao

Home 23% 4.4 fair
Draw 28% 3.53 fair
Away 49% 2.04 fair
Expected Goals2.13
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.536%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 22.1% → 22.7% +0.7 pp
Draw 28.1% → 28.4% +0.2 pp
Away 49.8% → 48.9% -0.9 pp
Over 2.5 37.1% → 35.9% -1.3 pp
Both teams to score 41.4% → 40.8% -0.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.17 → 2.13 -0.04
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.13
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.36 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.62 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

22.7% 4.4 —
28.4% 3.53 —
48.9% 2.04 —
51.1% 1.96 —
77.3% 1.29 —
71.6% 1.4 —

Half-time result

18.9% 5.28 —
50.5% 1.98 —
30.6% 3.27 —

Half-time double chance

69.4% 1.44 —
81.1% 1.23 —
49.5% 2.02 —

Both halves

3.7% 27.1 —

HT/FT

12.0% 8.35 —
4.6% 21.79 —
9.7% 10.29 —
19.9% 5.02 —
20.8% 4.8 —
3.8% 26.11 —
25.7% 3.89 —

HT/FT double chance

46.2% 2.16 —
44.9% 2.23 —
47.7% 2.1 —
21.4% 4.67 —
41.1% 2.43 —
36.5% 2.74 —
34.5% 2.9 —
57.3% 1.75 —
70.3% 1.42 —

Total goals

88.1% 1.13 —
62.6% 1.6 —
35.9% 2.79 —
16.6% 6.03 —
37.4% 2.67 —
64.1% 1.56 —
83.4% 1.2 —

1st-half goals

57.6% 1.74 —
21.3% 4.69 —

Home team goals

55.7% 1.8 —
19.1% 5.23 —

Away team goals

73.3% 1.36 —
38.1% 2.62 —

Both to score

40.8% 2.45 —

Corners

75.4% 1.33 —
65.8% 1.52 —
55.2% 1.81 —
45.0% 2.22 —
35.6% 2.81 —
34.2% 2.92 —
44.8% 2.23 —
55.0% 1.82 —
64.4% 1.55 —

Home corners

66.6% 1.5 —
50.3% 1.99 —
35.9% 2.78 —

Away corners

74.2% 1.35 —
59.5% 1.68 —
45.3% 2.21 —

Cards

85.8% 1.17 —
74.0% 1.35 —
59.9% 1.67 —
46.6% 2.15 —
26.0% 3.85 —
40.1% 2.5 —
53.4% 1.87 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds