Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-27
Benfica – Sp Lisbon
Home
43%
2.34 fair
Draw
24%
4.19 fair
Away
33%
2.99 fair
Expected Goals3.11
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
44.1%
→
42.8%
-1.4 pp
Draw
23.1%
→
23.8%
+0.7 pp
Away
32.7%
→
33.4%
+0.7 pp
Over 2.5
61.3%
→
59.8%
-1.5 pp
Both teams to score
62.5%
→
61.7%
-0.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.17 →
3.11
-0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 11.7% | 8.58 | — |
HT/FT
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.03 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.13 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.52 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.75 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.91 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.64 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.11 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — |
Total goals
| 95.6% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — |
Both to score
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
Corners
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — |
Away corners
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — |
Cards
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds