Crystal Palace – Arsenal
Home
14%
7.36 fair
Draw
22%
4.5 fair
Away
64%
1.56 fair
Expected Goals2.51
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.546%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
14.6%
→
13.6%
-1.0 pp
Draw
22.3%
→
22.2%
-0.1 pp
Away
63.1%
→
64.2%
+1.0 pp
Over 2.5
46.9%
→
45.7%
-1.2 pp
Both teams to score
43.6%
→
42.3%
-1.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.54 →
2.51
-0.03
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 13.6% | 7.36 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 12.9% | 7.78 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — |
HT/FT
| 6.8% | 14.66 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.39 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.81 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.88 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.86 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.51 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.51 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — |
Total goals
| 92.0% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — |
Home team goals
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.51 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.1% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — |
Both to score
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — |
Corners
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.56 | — |
Away corners
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — |
Cards
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.25 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.24 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds