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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-27

Coventry – Chelsea

Home 23% 4.31 fair
Draw 22% 4.65 fair
Away 55% 1.81 fair
Expected Goals3.26
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.563%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 19.6% → 23.2% +3.6 pp
Draw 22.3% → 21.5% -0.8 pp
Away 58.1% → 55.3% -2.8 pp
Over 2.5 54.0% → 62.8% +8.9 pp
Both teams to score 52.5% → 61.6% +9.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.85 → 3.26 +0.41
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.48 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.45 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

23.2% 4.31 —
21.5% 4.65 —
55.3% 1.81 —
44.7% 2.24 —
76.8% 1.3 —
78.5% 1.27 —

Half-time result

22.5% 4.44 —
49.6% 2.02 —
27.9% 3.58 —

Half-time double chance

72.1% 1.39 —
77.5% 1.29 —
50.4% 1.98 —

Both halves

4.6% 21.79 —

HT/FT

11.7% 8.55 —
5.4% 18.55 —
5.5% 18.32 —
10.1% 9.88 —
13.0% 7.68 —
26.4% 3.78 —
3.1% 32.15 —
23.4% 4.27 —

HT/FT double chance

40.2% 2.49 —
53.7% 1.86 —
50.3% 1.99 —
21.6% 4.64 —
41.9% 2.38 —
37.4% 2.68 —
27.6% 3.62 —
61.3% 1.63 —
66.0% 1.52 —

Total goals

96.0% 1.04 —
83.4% 1.2 —
62.8% 1.59 —
41.1% 2.44 —
16.6% 6.02 —
37.2% 2.69 —
59.0% 1.7 —

1st-half goals

59.0% 1.7 —
22.8% 4.39 —

Home team goals

71.1% 1.41 —
35.9% 2.79 —

Away team goals

86.6% 1.16 —
59.6% 1.68 —

Both to score

61.6% 1.62 —

Corners

68.7% 1.46 —
57.6% 1.74 —
46.6% 2.15 —
36.2% 2.76 —
27.2% 3.68 —
42.4% 2.36 —
53.4% 1.87 —
63.8% 1.57 —
72.8% 1.37 —

Home corners

59.4% 1.68 —
43.0% 2.33 —
29.2% 3.42 —

Away corners

69.7% 1.44 —
54.6% 1.83 —
40.2% 2.49 —

Cards

76.8% 1.3 —
60.5% 1.65 —
44.3% 2.26 —
30.1% 3.32 —
39.5% 2.53 —
55.7% 1.8 —
69.9% 1.43 —

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