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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-15

Colchester – Port Vale

Home 36% 2.78 fair
Draw 31% 3.26 fair
Away 33% 3.01 fair
Expected Goals2.01
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score40%
Over 2.533%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 36.4% → 36.0% -0.4 pp
Draw 32.3% → 30.7% -1.6 pp
Away 31.3% → 33.3% +2.0 pp
Over 2.5 29.7% → 32.6% +2.9 pp
Both teams to score 37.7% → 40.5% +2.7 pp
Expected Goals 1.91 → 2.01 +0.1
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.48 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.12 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.0% 2.78 —
30.7% 3.26 —
33.3% 3.01 —
66.7% 1.5 —
64.0% 1.56 —
69.3% 1.44 —

Half-time result

20.6% 4.84 —
51.4% 1.94 —
27.9% 3.58 —

Half-time double chance

72.1% 1.39 —
79.4% 1.26 —
48.5% 2.06 —

Both halves

6.9% 14.6 —

HT/FT

16.3% 6.13 —
3.3% 30.67 —
17.4% 5.73 —
21.6% 4.63 —
12.4% 8.06 —
5.9% 17.09 —
19.8% 5.05 —

HT/FT double chance

58.6% 1.71 —
47.2% 2.12 —
38.3% 2.61 —
27.7% 3.61 —
39.5% 2.53 —
30.0% 3.33 —
47.2% 2.12 —
51.9% 1.93 —
59.7% 1.68 —

Total goals

86.6% 1.16 —
59.9% 1.67 —
32.6% 3.07 —
14.8% 6.78 —
40.1% 2.49 —
67.4% 1.48 —
85.2% 1.17 —

1st-half goals

56.3% 1.78 —
20.0% 5.0 —

Home team goals

64.5% 1.55 —
27.6% 3.62 —

Away team goals

62.5% 1.6 —
25.9% 3.87 —

Both to score

40.5% 2.47 —

Corners

69.0% 1.45 —
58.2% 1.72 —
46.7% 2.14 —
36.0% 2.78 —
26.9% 3.72 —
41.8% 2.39 —
53.2% 1.88 —
64.0% 1.56 —
73.1% 1.37 —

Home corners

71.9% 1.39 —
56.7% 1.76 —
41.6% 2.41 —

Away corners

59.0% 1.7 —
42.0% 2.38 —
27.3% 3.66 —

Cards

75.2% 1.33 —
56.7% 1.76 —
39.2% 2.55 —
24.5% 4.08 —
43.3% 2.31 —
60.8% 1.65 —
75.5% 1.32 —

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