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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-26

Southend – Hornchurch

Home 65% 1.54 fair
Draw 20% 4.99 fair
Away 15% 6.6 fair
Expected Goals2.94
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 59.2% → 64.8% +5.6 pp
Draw 23.0% → 20.1% -2.9 pp
Away 17.8% → 15.2% -2.7 pp
Over 2.5 50.4% → 56.1% +5.7 pp
Both teams to score 49.2% → 51.2% +2.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.7 → 2.94 +0.24
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.89 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.47 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

64.8% 1.54 —
20.1% 4.99 —
15.2% 6.6 —
84.9% 1.18 —
35.2% 2.84 —
79.9% 1.25 —

Half-time result

53.0% 1.89 —
37.0% 2.7 —
10.0% 9.99 —

Half-time double chance

90.0% 1.11 —
47.0% 2.13 —
63.0% 1.59 —

Both halves

24.4% 4.09 —

HT/FT

45.9% 2.18 —
5.4% 18.38 —
17.2% 5.83 —
12.0% 8.3 —
7.8% 12.87 —
5.7% 17.61 —

HT/FT double chance

80.5% 1.24 —
72.5% 1.38 —
27.0% 3.71 —
55.6% 1.8 —
55.0% 1.82 —
15.4% 6.5 —
33.5% 2.98 —
32.4% 3.09 —
28.1% 3.56 —

Total goals

94.7% 1.06 —
78.8% 1.27 —
56.1% 1.78 —
34.0% 2.94 —
21.2% 4.71 —
43.9% 2.28 —
66.0% 1.51 —

1st-half goals

71.3% 1.4 —
36.2% 2.76 —

Home team goals

87.3% 1.15 —
60.7% 1.65 —

Away team goals

58.5% 1.71 —
22.2% 4.5 —

Both to score

51.2% 1.95 —

Corners

82.3% 1.22 —
73.0% 1.37 —
62.7% 1.59 —
51.5% 1.94 —
40.6% 2.47 —
27.0% 3.71 —
37.3% 2.68 —
48.5% 2.06 —
59.4% 1.68 —

Home corners

87.0% 1.15 —
76.1% 1.31 —
62.1% 1.61 —

Away corners

59.7% 1.68 —
41.6% 2.4 —
26.8% 3.74 —

Cards

64.3% 1.55 —
44.5% 2.25 —
27.5% 3.64 —
15.6% 6.4 —
55.5% 1.8 —
72.5% 1.38 —
84.4% 1.19 —

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