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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-26

Hartlepool – Boston Utd

Home 43% 2.34 fair
Draw 26% 3.84 fair
Away 31% 3.21 fair
Expected Goals2.66
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.6% → 42.8% -0.8 pp
Draw 25.9% → 26.1% +0.1 pp
Away 30.4% → 31.1% +0.7 pp
Over 2.5 48.1% → 49.4% +1.3 pp
Both teams to score 52.0% → 53.6% +1.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.59 → 2.66 +0.07
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.66
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.18 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.86 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.8% 2.34 —
26.1% 3.84 —
31.1% 3.21 —
68.9% 1.45 —
57.2% 1.75 —
74.0% 1.35 —

Half-time result

27.1% 3.68 —
44.6% 2.24 —
28.3% 3.54 —

Half-time double chance

71.7% 1.39 —
72.9% 1.37 —
55.4% 1.8 —

Both halves

10.9% 9.14 —

HT/FT

21.4% 4.66 —
4.3% 23.31 —
18.1% 5.52 —
15.6% 6.43 —
10.9% 9.17 —
3.2% 30.86 —
6.2% 16.1 —
18.8% 5.31 —

HT/FT double chance

59.4% 1.68 —
51.9% 1.93 —
32.2% 3.11 —
35.2% 2.84 —
44.9% 2.23 —
30.7% 3.26 —
43.1% 2.32 —
51.1% 1.96 —
51.5% 1.94 —

Total goals

93.0% 1.08 —
74.4% 1.34 —
49.4% 2.02 —
27.7% 3.61 —
25.6% 3.91 —
50.6% 1.98 —
72.3% 1.38 —

1st-half goals

65.8% 1.52 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Home team goals

76.8% 1.3 —
42.8% 2.34 —

Away team goals

69.8% 1.43 —
33.6% 2.97 —

Both to score

53.6% 1.87 —

Corners

84.3% 1.19 —
75.6% 1.32 —
65.6% 1.53 —
54.8% 1.82 —
44.0% 2.28 —
24.4% 4.11 —
34.4% 2.9 —
45.2% 2.21 —
56.0% 1.78 —

Home corners

83.5% 1.2 —
70.2% 1.42 —
55.5% 1.8 —

Away corners

71.5% 1.4 —
55.1% 1.81 —
39.1% 2.56 —

Cards

71.1% 1.41 —
52.0% 1.92 —
34.0% 2.94 —
21.1% 4.75 —
48.0% 2.08 —
66.0% 1.51 —
78.9% 1.27 —

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