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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-26

Harrogate – Halifax

Home 53% 1.87 fair
Draw 22% 4.45 fair
Away 24% 4.13 fair
Expected Goals3.09
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.559%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 57.0% → 53.3% -3.7 pp
Draw 21.7% → 22.4% +0.7 pp
Away 21.2% → 24.2% +3.0 pp
Over 2.5 59.3% → 59.2% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 57.5% → 58.9% +1.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.08 → 3.09 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.09
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.89 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.08 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.3% 1.87 —
22.4% 4.45 —
24.2% 4.13 —
75.8% 1.32 —
46.7% 2.14 —
77.5% 1.29 —

Half-time result

35.9% 2.79 —
39.8% 2.51 —
24.3% 4.11 —

Half-time double chance

75.7% 1.32 —
64.1% 1.56 —
60.2% 1.66 —

Both halves

16.9% 5.91 —

HT/FT

30.3% 3.3 —
4.0% 24.81 —
18.8% 5.33 —
13.0% 7.72 —
8.1% 12.36 —
4.2% 23.53 —
5.5% 18.32 —
14.6% 6.85 —

HT/FT double chance

66.1% 1.51 —
58.7% 1.7 —
26.6% 3.76 —
44.1% 2.27 —
50.7% 1.97 —
25.6% 3.9 —
41.4% 2.41 —
45.7% 2.19 —
41.1% 2.43 —

Total goals

95.2% 1.05 —
81.0% 1.23 —
59.2% 1.69 —
37.5% 2.67 —
19.0% 5.26 —
40.8% 2.45 —
62.5% 1.6 —

1st-half goals

73.0% 1.37 —
38.5% 2.6 —

Home team goals

84.6% 1.18 —
56.2% 1.78 —

Away team goals

69.5% 1.44 —
34.0% 2.94 —

Both to score

58.9% 1.7 —

Corners

74.6% 1.34 —
63.4% 1.58 —
52.0% 1.92 —
40.5% 2.47 —
29.9% 3.34 —
36.6% 2.74 —
48.0% 2.08 —
59.5% 1.68 —
70.0% 1.43 —

Home corners

80.7% 1.24 —
66.6% 1.5 —
51.0% 1.96 —

Away corners

56.4% 1.77 —
38.6% 2.59 —
23.9% 4.18 —

Cards

73.3% 1.36 —
55.4% 1.81 —
38.6% 2.59 —
24.8% 4.03 —
44.6% 2.24 —
61.4% 1.63 —
75.2% 1.33 —

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