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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-26

Shrewsbury – Swindon

Home 29% 3.49 fair
Draw 26% 3.91 fair
Away 46% 2.18 fair
Expected Goals2.66
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.8% → 28.7% -0.1 pp
Draw 25.8% → 25.6% -0.2 pp
Away 45.4% → 45.8% +0.4 pp
Over 2.5 49.7% → 49.5% -0.2 pp
Both teams to score 53.8% → 53.3% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.67 → 2.66 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.66
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.76 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.67 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.7% 3.49 —
25.6% 3.91 —
45.8% 2.18 —
54.2% 1.84 —
71.3% 1.4 —
74.4% 1.34 —

Half-time result

21.8% 4.58 —
42.5% 2.35 —
35.6% 2.81 —

Half-time double chance

64.4% 1.55 —
78.2% 1.28 —
57.5% 1.74 —

Both halves

5.8% 17.39 —

HT/FT

15.0% 6.66 —
4.5% 22.47 —
11.6% 8.63 —
15.4% 6.51 —
15.6% 6.41 —
5.8% 17.39 —
27.8% 3.59 —

HT/FT double chance

46.4% 2.15 —
44.6% 2.24 —
37.8% 2.65 —
27.3% 3.67 —
47.3% 2.12 —
40.4% 2.48 —
34.8% 2.88 —
57.1% 1.75 —
64.5% 1.55 —

Total goals

93.1% 1.07 —
74.5% 1.34 —
49.5% 2.02 —
27.5% 3.64 —
25.5% 3.92 —
50.5% 1.98 —
72.6% 1.38 —

1st-half goals

68.1% 1.47 —
31.1% 3.22 —

Home team goals

68.2% 1.47 —
31.6% 3.17 —

Away team goals

78.2% 1.28 —
44.8% 2.23 —

Both to score

53.3% 1.88 —

Corners

71.5% 1.4 —
60.6% 1.65 —
49.7% 2.01 —
39.0% 2.57 —
29.4% 3.4 —
39.4% 2.54 —
50.3% 1.99 —
61.1% 1.64 —
70.6% 1.42 —

Home corners

76.5% 1.31 —
62.3% 1.61 —
47.0% 2.13 —

Away corners

56.3% 1.78 —
39.3% 2.55 —
25.2% 3.97 —

Cards

68.0% 1.47 —
48.8% 2.05 —
31.2% 3.2 —
18.0% 5.56 —
51.2% 1.95 —
68.8% 1.45 —
82.0% 1.22 —

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