Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-26
Exeter – Newport County
Home
46%
2.19 fair
Draw
35%
2.84 fair
Away
19%
5.25 fair
Expected Goals1.52
Most Likely Score0-0
Both teams to score26%
Over 2.520%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.2%
→
45.7%
-2.5 pp
Draw
35.7%
→
35.2%
-0.5 pp
Away
16.1%
→
19.1%
+3.0 pp
Over 2.5
17.5%
→
19.7%
+2.2 pp
Both teams to score
22.8%
→
26.1%
+3.2 pp
Expected Goals
1.43 →
1.52
+0.09
Most Likely Score
0-0
→
0-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.25 | — | |||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — |
Half-time result
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 7.8% | 12.84 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 92.2% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — |
Both halves
| 9.6% | 10.41 | — |
HT/FT
| 22.0% | 4.54 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.04 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.62 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.38 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.58 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — |
Total goals
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.09 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.2 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 93.0% | 1.08 | — |
1st-half goals
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 7.6% | 13.14 | — |
Home team goals
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — |
Away team goals
| 41.2% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.26 | — |
Both to score
| 26.1% | 3.84 | — |
Corners
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.2 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Home corners
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Away corners
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.45 | — |
Cards
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.76 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds