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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-26

Crawley Town – Gillingham

Home 37% 2.67 fair
Draw 28% 3.63 fair
Away 35% 2.86 fair
Expected Goals2.4
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.0% → 37.5% +0.5 pp
Draw 27.4% → 27.5% +0.2 pp
Away 35.6% → 35.0% -0.7 pp
Over 2.5 43.7% → 43.1% -0.6 pp
Both teams to score 49.7% → 48.9% -0.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.43 → 2.4 -0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.4
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.04 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.7 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.5% 2.67 —
27.5% 3.63 —
35.0% 2.86 —
65.0% 1.54 —
62.5% 1.6 —
72.5% 1.38 —

Half-time result

26.4% 3.79 —
52.4% 1.91 —
21.2% 4.72 —

Half-time double chance

78.8% 1.27 —
73.6% 1.36 —
47.6% 2.1 —

Both halves

8.4% 11.86 —

HT/FT

19.1% 5.23 —
5.0% 19.88 —
16.6% 6.01 —
18.4% 5.42 —
17.3% 5.77 —
4.1% 24.57 —
15.4% 6.51 —

HT/FT double chance

59.2% 1.69 —
55.4% 1.81 —
43.1% 2.32 —
29.9% 3.34 —
38.5% 2.6 —
26.8% 3.74 —
40.9% 2.45 —
51.1% 1.96 —
55.2% 1.81 —

Total goals

91.1% 1.1 —
69.3% 1.44 —
43.1% 2.32 —
22.1% 4.51 —
30.7% 3.26 —
56.9% 1.76 —
77.8% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

55.1% 1.82 —
19.1% 5.22 —

Home team goals

70.5% 1.42 —
34.9% 2.86 —

Away team goals

69.5% 1.44 —
32.7% 3.06 —

Both to score

48.9% 2.04 —

Corners

74.1% 1.35 —
63.9% 1.56 —
52.9% 1.89 —
42.1% 2.38 —
32.3% 3.1 —
36.1% 2.77 —
47.1% 2.12 —
57.9% 1.73 —
67.7% 1.48 —

Home corners

70.3% 1.42 —
54.6% 1.83 —
39.3% 2.55 —

Away corners

68.8% 1.45 —
52.6% 1.9 —
37.9% 2.64 —

Cards

81.4% 1.23 —
65.7% 1.52 —
49.0% 2.04 —
33.7% 2.97 —
34.3% 2.92 —
51.0% 1.96 —
66.3% 1.51 —

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