Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-26
Chesterfield – Northampton
Home
44%
2.26 fair
Draw
32%
3.13 fair
Away
24%
4.2 fair
Expected Goals1.81
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score34%
Over 2.527%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.2%
→
44.3%
+1.1 pp
Draw
32.5%
→
31.9%
-0.5 pp
Away
24.3%
→
23.8%
-0.6 pp
Over 2.5
27.0%
→
26.9%
-0.1 pp
Both teams to score
34.0%
→
34.1%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
1.79 →
1.81
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.2 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.7% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — |
Both halves
| 10.3% | 9.68 | — |
HT/FT
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.18 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.81 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.85 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.88 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.81 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — |
Total goals
| 83.7% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 8.98 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 88.9% | 1.13 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.38 | — |
Away team goals
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.34 | — |
Both to score
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — |
Corners
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — |
Home corners
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — |
Away corners
| 55.7% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — |
Cards
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds