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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-26

Cheltenham – Port Vale

Home 32% 3.11 fair
Draw 27% 3.77 fair
Away 41% 2.42 fair
Expected Goals2.55
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 33.0% → 32.1% -0.8 pp
Draw 27.9% → 26.5% -1.4 pp
Away 39.1% → 41.3% +2.2 pp
Over 2.5 43.5% → 47.0% +3.5 pp
Both teams to score 49.1% → 51.7% +2.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.41 → 2.55 +0.14
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.64 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.83 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

32.1% 3.11 —
26.5% 3.77 —
41.3% 2.42 —
58.7% 1.7 —
67.8% 1.47 —
73.5% 1.36 —

Half-time result

17.6% 5.68 —
45.2% 2.21 —
37.1% 2.69 —

Half-time double chance

62.9% 1.59 —
82.4% 1.21 —
54.8% 1.83 —

Both halves

6.3% 15.87 —

HT/FT

13.0% 7.67 —
3.2% 31.15 —
15.8% 6.35 —
16.5% 6.06 —
13.0% 7.7 —
3.4% 29.76 —
6.8% 14.68 —
27.0% 3.71 —

HT/FT double chance

48.5% 2.06 —
43.2% 2.32 —
34.1% 2.94 —
26.4% 3.79 —
44.7% 2.24 —
38.4% 2.61 —
42.4% 2.36 —
59.1% 1.69 —
63.3% 1.58 —

Total goals

92.2% 1.08 —
72.2% 1.39 —
47.0% 2.13 —
25.3% 3.95 —
27.8% 3.6 —
53.0% 1.89 —
74.7% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

63.8% 1.57 —
26.7% 3.74 —

Home team goals

69.2% 1.44 —
33.3% 3.0 —

Away team goals

74.7% 1.34 —
39.6% 2.53 —

Both to score

51.7% 1.93 —

Corners

71.1% 1.41 —
59.5% 1.68 —
48.4% 2.06 —
37.8% 2.64 —
28.2% 3.55 —
40.5% 2.47 —
51.5% 1.94 —
62.2% 1.61 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Home corners

67.1% 1.49 —
51.1% 1.96 —
35.8% 2.79 —

Away corners

66.5% 1.5 —
50.6% 1.98 —
35.3% 2.83 —

Cards

71.0% 1.41 —
51.8% 1.93 —
34.1% 2.93 —
20.3% 4.92 —
48.2% 2.08 —
65.9% 1.52 —
79.7% 1.25 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds