Newcastle – Man City
Home
26%
3.8 fair
Draw
23%
4.38 fair
Away
51%
1.97 fair
Expected Goals3.16
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.8%
→
26.3%
+1.5 pp
Draw
21.7%
→
22.8%
+1.1 pp
Away
53.4%
→
50.9%
-2.6 pp
Over 2.5
62.2%
→
61.1%
-1.1 pp
Both teams to score
61.0%
→
61.1%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.2 →
3.16
-0.04
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.71 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — |
Both halves
| 5.9% | 16.92 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.1% | 5.86 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.34 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 7.7% | 12.97 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.13 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.23 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.62 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — |
Total goals
| 95.5% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — |
Both to score
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
Corners
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
Home corners
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — |
Away corners
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — |
Cards
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.14 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds