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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-26

Fulham – Brighton

Home 30% 3.36 fair
Draw 26% 3.85 fair
Away 44% 2.26 fair
Expected Goals2.64
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 30.9% → 29.7% -1.2 pp
Draw 25.6% → 25.9% +0.4 pp
Away 43.6% → 44.3% +0.8 pp
Over 2.5 52.0% → 49.4% -2.6 pp
Both teams to score 56.1% → 53.7% -2.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.75 → 2.64 -0.11
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.64
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.27 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.93 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.7% 3.36 —
25.9% 3.85 —
44.3% 2.26 —
55.7% 1.8 —
70.3% 1.42 —
74.1% 1.35 —

Half-time result

29.3% 3.41 —
41.9% 2.39 —
28.8% 3.48 —

Half-time double chance

71.2% 1.4 —
70.7% 1.42 —
58.1% 1.72 —

Both halves

6.2% 16.08 —

HT/FT

19.3% 5.17 —
6.6% 15.15 —
3.4% 29.41 —
9.2% 10.88 —
15.5% 6.46 —
17.2% 5.8 —
3.9% 25.91 —
23.7% 4.22 —

HT/FT double chance

50.6% 1.98 —
49.1% 2.04 —
42.7% 2.34 —
31.0% 3.23 —
47.6% 2.1 —
37.6% 2.66 —
29.7% 3.36 —
51.3% 1.95 —
60.3% 1.66 —

Total goals

93.0% 1.08 —
74.2% 1.35 —
49.4% 2.03 —
27.0% 3.71 —
25.8% 3.88 —
50.6% 1.97 —
73.0% 1.37 —

1st-half goals

70.3% 1.42 —
34.8% 2.88 —

Home team goals

69.0% 1.45 —
32.5% 3.08 —

Away team goals

77.7% 1.29 —
42.9% 2.33 —

Both to score

53.7% 1.86 —

Corners

75.4% 1.33 —
65.4% 1.53 —
54.8% 1.82 —
44.2% 2.26 —
34.6% 2.89 —
34.6% 2.89 —
45.2% 2.21 —
55.8% 1.79 —
65.4% 1.53 —

Home corners

73.7% 1.36 —
59.0% 1.7 —
44.2% 2.26 —

Away corners

66.1% 1.51 —
50.3% 1.99 —
36.2% 2.76 —

Cards

70.5% 1.42 —
52.2% 1.92 —
35.6% 2.81 —
22.8% 4.38 —
47.8% 2.09 —
64.4% 1.55 —
77.2% 1.3 —

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