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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-26

Everton – Sunderland

Home 44% 2.28 fair
Draw 30% 3.36 fair
Away 26% 3.8 fair
Expected Goals2.06
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.534%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 41.6% → 43.9% +2.3 pp
Draw 30.5% → 29.8% -0.7 pp
Away 27.9% → 26.4% -1.6 pp
Over 2.5 33.6% → 33.9% +0.3 pp
Both teams to score 40.7% → 40.7% -0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.05 → 2.06 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.06
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.14 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.98 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.9% 2.28 —
29.8% 3.36 —
26.4% 3.8 —
73.7% 1.36 —
56.1% 1.78 —
70.2% 1.42 —

Half-time result

34.2% 2.92 —
52.3% 1.91 —
13.5% 7.41 —

Half-time double chance

86.5% 1.16 —
65.8% 1.52 —
47.7% 2.1 —

Both halves

10.7% 9.39 —

HT/FT

26.2% 3.82 —
6.0% 16.56 —
16.7% 6.01 —
20.7% 4.84 —
15.0% 6.68 —
3.0% 32.79 —
9.4% 10.67 —

HT/FT double chance

69.5% 1.44 —
59.8% 1.67 —
43.7% 2.29 —
36.3% 2.75 —
38.6% 2.59 —
20.5% 4.89 —
41.5% 2.41 —
42.1% 2.38 —
48.1% 2.08 —

Total goals

87.6% 1.14 —
61.4% 1.63 —
33.9% 2.95 —
15.1% 6.64 —
38.6% 2.59 —
66.1% 1.51 —
84.9% 1.18 —

1st-half goals

53.9% 1.85 —
18.2% 5.49 —

Home team goals

70.3% 1.42 —
33.7% 2.97 —

Away team goals

58.1% 1.72 —
21.1% 4.75 —

Both to score

40.7% 2.46 —

Corners

64.9% 1.54 —
53.5% 1.87 —
42.4% 2.36 —
32.2% 3.1 —
24.0% 4.16 —
46.5% 2.15 —
57.6% 1.73 —
67.8% 1.48 —
76.0% 1.32 —

Home corners

66.5% 1.5 —
50.8% 1.97 —
35.9% 2.79 —

Away corners

58.3% 1.71 —
41.7% 2.4 —
27.6% 3.62 —

Cards

71.3% 1.4 —
53.6% 1.87 —
36.2% 2.76 —
23.2% 4.3 —
46.4% 2.16 —
63.8% 1.57 —
76.8% 1.3 —

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