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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-24

Palermo – Sudtirol

Home 59% 1.69 fair
Draw 22% 4.5 fair
Away 19% 5.34 fair
Expected Goals2.73
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.551%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 56.0% → 59.0% +3.0 pp
Draw 23.9% → 22.2% -1.7 pp
Away 20.1% → 18.7% -1.3 pp
Over 2.5 47.2% → 51.5% +4.3 pp
Both teams to score 47.6% → 49.7% +2.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.58 → 2.73 +0.15
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.22 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.66 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

59.0% 1.69 —
22.2% 4.5 —
18.7% 5.34 —
81.3% 1.23 —
41.0% 2.44 —
77.8% 1.29 —

Half-time result

45.2% 2.21 —
41.2% 2.43 —
13.6% 7.36 —

Half-time double chance

86.4% 1.16 —
54.8% 1.82 —
58.8% 1.7 —

Both halves

20.6% 4.86 —

HT/FT

38.3% 2.61 —
5.2% 19.23 —
18.4% 5.43 —
13.8% 7.27 —
9.1% 11.03 —
3.3% 30.49 —
7.9% 12.61 —

HT/FT double chance

75.6% 1.32 —
67.5% 1.48 —
29.8% 3.36 —
49.1% 2.04 —
50.3% 1.99 —
18.1% 5.51 —
37.8% 2.64 —
37.8% 2.65 —
34.0% 2.94 —

Total goals

93.3% 1.07 —
75.6% 1.32 —
51.5% 1.94 —
29.4% 3.4 —
24.4% 4.09 —
48.5% 2.06 —
70.6% 1.42 —

1st-half goals

67.1% 1.49 —
30.5% 3.28 —

Home team goals

83.4% 1.2 —
54.5% 1.83 —

Away team goals

59.7% 1.68 —
22.8% 4.38 —

Both to score

49.7% 2.01 —

Corners

66.0% 1.51 —
54.5% 1.83 —
43.3% 2.31 —
33.4% 2.99 —
24.3% 4.11 —
45.5% 2.2 —
56.7% 1.76 —
66.6% 1.5 —
75.7% 1.32 —

Home corners

70.4% 1.42 —
55.3% 1.81 —
39.8% 2.51 —

Away corners

55.2% 1.81 —
38.2% 2.62 —
24.6% 4.07 —

Cards

81.2% 1.23 —
65.1% 1.54 —
48.6% 2.06 —
33.3% 3.0 —
34.9% 2.87 —
51.4% 1.94 —
66.7% 1.5 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds