Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-24
Padova – Sampdoria
Home
43%
2.31 fair
Draw
30%
3.38 fair
Away
27%
3.69 fair
Expected Goals2.08
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.534%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.6%
→
43.3%
-0.3 pp
Draw
29.7%
→
29.6%
-0.1 pp
Away
26.8%
→
27.1%
+0.4 pp
Over 2.5
33.0%
→
34.4%
+1.5 pp
Both teams to score
39.3%
→
40.9%
+1.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.02 →
2.08
+0.06
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
Half-time result
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — |
Both halves
| 10.5% | 9.5 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.62 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.42 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.91 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.62 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.21 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — |
Total goals
| 87.5% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.36 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 84.3% | 1.19 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — |
Away team goals
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — |
Both to score
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — |
Corners
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — |
Home corners
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.66 | — |
Away corners
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — |
Cards
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.65 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds