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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-24

Mantova – Arezzo

Home 64% 1.56 fair
Draw 21% 4.84 fair
Away 15% 6.51 fair
Expected Goals2.86
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.554%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 73.5% → 64.0% -9.6 pp
Draw 14.6% → 20.6% +6.1 pp
Away 11.9% → 15.4% +3.5 pp
Over 2.5 77.8% → 53.9% -23.9 pp
Both teams to score 65.5% → 50.0% -15.5 pp
Expected Goals 4.12 → 2.86 -1.26
Most Likely Score 3-1 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.73 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.88 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

64.0% 1.56 —
20.6% 4.84 —
15.4% 6.51 —
84.6% 1.18 —
36.0% 2.78 —
79.4% 1.26 —

Half-time result

35.8% 2.79 —
57.1% 1.75 —
7.1% 14.16 —

Half-time double chance

92.9% 1.08 —
64.2% 1.56 —
42.9% 2.33 —

Both halves

19.9% 5.02 —

HT/FT

30.4% 3.29 —
3.8% 26.39 —
31.6% 3.17 —
15.2% 6.6 —
10.4% 9.6 —
3.4% 29.59 —

HT/FT double chance

81.0% 1.24 —
74.0% 1.35 —
30.9% 3.23 —
37.9% 2.64 —
37.4% 2.68 —
10.4% 9.59 —
50.4% 1.98 —
47.4% 2.11 —
30.6% 3.26 —

Total goals

94.0% 1.06 —
78.0% 1.28 —
53.9% 1.85 —
32.0% 3.12 —
22.0% 4.55 —
46.1% 2.17 —
68.0% 1.47 —

1st-half goals

45.9% 2.18 —
12.3% 8.11 —

Home team goals

86.1% 1.16 —
59.7% 1.68 —

Away team goals

57.9% 1.73 —
21.5% 4.66 —

Both to score

50.0% 2.0 —

Corners

61.0% 1.64 —
49.7% 2.01 —
38.3% 2.61 —
28.2% 3.54 —
20.1% 4.98 —
50.3% 1.99 —
61.7% 1.62 —
71.8% 1.39 —
79.9% 1.25 —

Home corners

63.5% 1.58 —
46.3% 2.16 —
31.4% 3.19 —

Away corners

56.5% 1.77 —
39.8% 2.52 —
25.5% 3.92 —

Cards

83.2% 1.2 —
68.7% 1.46 —
51.9% 1.93 —
36.6% 2.74 —
31.3% 3.19 —
48.1% 2.08 —
63.4% 1.58 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds