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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-24

Cremonese – Avellino

Home 52% 1.93 fair
Draw 25% 4.0 fair
Away 23% 4.33 fair
Expected Goals2.58
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 55.6% → 51.9% -3.7 pp
Draw 23.6% → 25.0% +1.4 pp
Away 20.8% → 23.1% +2.3 pp
Over 2.5 51.1% → 47.3% -3.8 pp
Both teams to score 51.3% → 49.6% -1.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.73 → 2.58 -0.15
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.58
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.84 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.95 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

51.9% 1.93 —
25.0% 4.0 —
23.1% 4.33 —
76.9% 1.3 —
48.1% 2.08 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Half-time result

27.4% 3.65 —
42.0% 2.38 —
30.6% 3.26 —

Half-time double chance

69.4% 1.44 —
72.6% 1.38 —
58.0% 1.72 —

Both halves

14.4% 6.96 —

HT/FT

24.8% 4.03 —
21.9% 4.56 —
15.1% 6.64 —
5.0% 20.12 —
5.2% 19.34 —
7.8% 12.9 —
17.7% 5.65 —

HT/FT double chance

64.0% 1.56 —
52.1% 1.92 —
22.7% 4.41 —
39.9% 2.51 —
48.1% 2.08 —
28.1% 3.56 —
49.9% 2.0 —
49.8% 2.01 —
45.5% 2.2 —

Total goals

92.3% 1.08 —
72.7% 1.38 —
47.3% 2.12 —
26.0% 3.84 —
27.3% 3.66 —
52.7% 1.9 —
74.0% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

70.5% 1.42 —
34.5% 2.9 —

Home team goals

79.7% 1.26 —
47.6% 2.1 —

Away team goals

62.3% 1.61 —
25.8% 3.88 —

Both to score

49.6% 2.01 —

Corners

62.6% 1.6 —
50.4% 1.98 —
39.3% 2.55 —
29.3% 3.41 —
20.9% 4.79 —
49.6% 2.02 —
60.7% 1.65 —
70.7% 1.41 —
79.1% 1.26 —

Home corners

71.1% 1.41 —
55.7% 1.8 —
40.9% 2.44 —

Away corners

47.7% 2.1 —
31.0% 3.22 —
18.7% 5.35 —

Cards

83.6% 1.2 —
69.2% 1.45 —
53.2% 1.88 —
37.6% 2.66 —
30.8% 3.24 —
46.8% 2.14 —
62.4% 1.6 —

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