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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-24

Benevento – Empoli

Home 53% 1.87 fair
Draw 25% 4.03 fair
Away 22% 4.6 fair
Expected Goals2.52
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 47.0% → 53.5% +6.4 pp
Draw 28.1% → 24.8% -3.3 pp
Away 24.9% → 21.7% -3.2 pp
Over 2.5 39.3% → 45.9% +6.6 pp
Both teams to score 44.5% → 47.7% +3.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.26 → 2.52 +0.26
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.15 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.0 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.5% 1.87 —
24.8% 4.03 —
21.7% 4.6 —
78.3% 1.28 —
46.5% 2.15 —
75.2% 1.33 —

Half-time result

32.9% 3.04 —
53.2% 1.88 —
13.9% 7.21 —

Half-time double chance

86.1% 1.16 —
67.1% 1.49 —
46.8% 2.14 —

Both halves

15.4% 6.47 —

HT/FT

27.4% 3.65 —
4.1% 24.63 —
23.6% 4.24 —
17.4% 5.76 —
12.3% 8.1 —
3.4% 29.5 —
7.9% 12.59 —

HT/FT double chance

72.4% 1.38 —
64.7% 1.55 —
35.2% 2.84 —
37.4% 2.68 —
39.3% 2.54 —
16.8% 5.94 —
46.8% 2.13 —
46.4% 2.16 —
41.0% 2.44 —

Total goals

91.8% 1.09 —
71.3% 1.4 —
45.9% 2.18 —
25.0% 4.0 —
28.7% 3.49 —
54.1% 1.85 —
75.0% 1.33 —

1st-half goals

53.1% 1.88 —
17.7% 5.64 —

Home team goals

79.4% 1.26 —
47.5% 2.1 —

Away team goals

60.1% 1.66 —
23.4% 4.28 —

Both to score

47.7% 2.1 —

Corners

74.4% 1.34 —
64.0% 1.56 —
53.5% 1.87 —
43.2% 2.31 —
33.7% 2.97 —
36.0% 2.78 —
46.5% 2.15 —
56.8% 1.76 —
66.3% 1.51 —

Home corners

76.5% 1.31 —
62.7% 1.59 —
48.1% 2.08 —

Away corners

61.5% 1.63 —
44.5% 2.25 —
30.1% 3.32 —

Cards

84.0% 1.19 —
70.0% 1.43 —
54.2% 1.84 —
38.6% 2.59 —
30.0% 3.33 —
45.8% 2.18 —
61.4% 1.63 —

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