Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-13

Lorient – Lille

Home 27% 3.66 fair
Draw 28% 3.55 fair
Away 45% 2.25 fair
Expected Goals2.24
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.5% → 27.3% -1.2 pp
Draw 28.1% → 28.2% +0.1 pp
Away 43.4% → 44.5% +1.1 pp
Over 2.5 41.1% → 38.8% -2.3 pp
Both teams to score 46.9% → 44.6% -2.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.34 → 2.24 -0.1
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.94 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.34 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

27.3% 3.66 —
28.2% 3.55 —
44.5% 2.25 —
55.5% 1.8 —
72.7% 1.38 —
71.8% 1.39 —

Half-time result

22.5% 4.45 —
52.5% 1.9 —
25.0% 4.0 —

Half-time double chance

75.0% 1.33 —
77.5% 1.29 —
47.5% 2.11 —

Both halves

5.0% 20.0 —

HT/FT

14.3% 6.98 —
5.4% 18.59 —
11.8% 8.47 —
19.1% 5.24 —
21.6% 4.63 —
3.7% 26.88 —
20.1% 4.97 —

HT/FT double chance

50.6% 1.98 —
50.5% 1.98 —
48.9% 2.05 —
24.6% 4.07 —
38.4% 2.6 —
32.0% 3.12 —
35.8% 2.79 —
54.7% 1.83 —
64.6% 1.55 —

Total goals

89.6% 1.12 —
65.5% 1.53 —
38.8% 2.58 —
18.9% 5.3 —
34.5% 2.9 —
61.2% 1.63 —
81.1% 1.23 —

1st-half goals

54.9% 1.82 —
18.8% 5.31 —

Home team goals

61.6% 1.62 —
24.7% 4.05 —

Away team goals

72.6% 1.38 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Both to score

44.6% 2.24 —

Corners

63.2% 1.58 —
51.6% 1.94 —
40.6% 2.46 —
30.4% 3.29 —
22.0% 4.55 —
48.4% 2.06 —
59.4% 1.68 —
69.6% 1.44 —
78.0% 1.28 —

Home corners

51.6% 1.94 —
34.8% 2.87 —
21.4% 4.68 —

Away corners

69.7% 1.43 —
53.9% 1.86 —
39.4% 2.54 —

Cards

75.9% 1.32 —
59.4% 1.68 —
42.2% 2.37 —
28.3% 3.53 —
40.7% 2.46 —
57.8% 1.73 —
71.7% 1.4 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds