Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-11
Auxerre – Toulouse
Home
33%
3.03 fair
Draw
27%
3.76 fair
Away
40%
2.47 fair
Expected Goals2.59
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
35.0%
→
33.0%
-2.1 pp
Draw
26.2%
→
26.6%
+0.4 pp
Away
38.8%
→
40.4%
+1.7 pp
Over 2.5
48.8%
→
47.6%
-1.2 pp
Both teams to score
53.8%
→
52.7%
-1.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.64 →
2.59
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.54 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — |
Both halves
| 7.5% | 13.25 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.9% | 4.79 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.37 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.17 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.17 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.13 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.21 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.03 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.7 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — |
Total goals
| 92.4% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — |
Home team goals
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.52 | — |
Both to score
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — |
Corners
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Away corners
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — |
Cards
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds