Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-06
Marseille – Nice
Home
57%
1.75 fair
Draw
21%
4.69 fair
Away
21%
4.65 fair
Expected Goals3.16
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
58.3%
→
57.2%
-1.2 pp
Draw
21.6%
→
21.3%
-0.2 pp
Away
20.1%
→
21.5%
+1.4 pp
Over 2.5
58.1%
→
61.0%
+2.9 pp
Both teams to score
56.0%
→
58.8%
+2.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.01 →
3.16
+0.15
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.65 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.09 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.3% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — |
HT/FT
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.37 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.81 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.5 | — | |||
| 8.2% | 12.17 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.03 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.46 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.57 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — |
Total goals
| 95.7% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.58 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — |
Both to score
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — |
Corners
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — |
Away corners
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — |
Cards
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds