Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-06
Troyes – Lyon
Home
16%
6.19 fair
Draw
23%
4.42 fair
Away
61%
1.63 fair
Expected Goals2.57
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
10.8%
→
16.2%
+5.3 pp
Draw
16.7%
→
22.6%
+5.9 pp
Away
72.5%
→
61.3%
-11.2 pp
Over 2.5
63.0%
→
47.3%
-15.8 pp
Both teams to score
51.8%
→
45.4%
-6.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.27 →
2.57
-0.7
Most Likely Score
0-2
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 16.2% | 6.19 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 83.9% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 20.9% | 4.79 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.1% | 8.98 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.98 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.04 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.03 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.15 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.94 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
Total goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — |
Home team goals
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — |
Away team goals
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Both to score
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — |
Corners
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — |
Away corners
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
Cards
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds