Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-12-04
Toulouse – Paris SG
Home
19%
5.28 fair
Draw
22%
4.5 fair
Away
59%
1.7 fair
Expected Goals2.95
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
20.2%
→
18.9%
-1.3 pp
Draw
21.6%
→
22.2%
+0.6 pp
Away
58.2%
→
58.9%
+0.7 pp
Over 2.5
58.2%
→
56.5%
-1.8 pp
Both teams to score
56.2%
→
54.9%
-1.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.04 →
2.95
-0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 18.9% | 5.28 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 15.6% | 6.43 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 3.2% | 31.15 | — |
HT/FT
| 8.8% | 11.34 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.63 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.85 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.7 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.42 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — |
Total goals
| 94.7% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.88 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — |
Home team goals
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — |
Away team goals
| 85.9% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Both to score
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — |
Corners
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — |
Home corners
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — |
Away corners
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — |
Cards
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.93 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds