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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-24

Hornchurch – Sutton

Home 39% 2.59 fair
Draw 27% 3.71 fair
Away 34% 2.91 fair
Expected Goals2.53
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 51.2% → 38.7% -12.5 pp
Draw 24.9% → 27.0% +2.0 pp
Away 23.9% → 34.4% +10.5 pp
Over 2.5 48.2% → 46.4% -1.8 pp
Both teams to score 50.5% → 51.6% +1.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.6 → 2.53 -0.07
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.53
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.67 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.19 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.7% 2.59 —
27.0% 3.71 —
34.4% 2.91 —
65.6% 1.52 —
61.3% 1.63 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Half-time result

25.1% 3.98 —
46.3% 2.16 —
28.6% 3.49 —

Half-time double chance

71.4% 1.4 —
74.9% 1.34 —
53.7% 1.86 —

Both halves

9.0% 11.16 —

HT/FT

19.4% 5.17 —
4.2% 23.75 —
16.6% 6.02 —
16.9% 5.93 —
12.8% 7.81 —
5.9% 16.95 —
20.0% 4.99 —

HT/FT double chance

57.1% 1.75 —
50.3% 1.99 —
35.4% 2.82 —
32.2% 3.11 —
43.6% 2.29 —
31.7% 3.16 —
42.1% 2.38 —
52.1% 1.92 —
55.6% 1.8 —

Total goals

91.9% 1.09 —
71.5% 1.4 —
46.4% 2.15 —
25.3% 3.95 —
28.5% 3.51 —
53.6% 1.87 —
74.7% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

64.0% 1.56 —
27.7% 3.62 —

Home team goals

73.0% 1.37 —
37.7% 2.66 —

Away team goals

70.6% 1.42 —
34.4% 2.9 —

Both to score

51.6% 1.94 —

Corners

72.3% 1.38 —
61.1% 1.64 —
49.0% 2.04 —
37.8% 2.64 —
28.1% 3.56 —
38.9% 2.57 —
51.0% 1.96 —
62.2% 1.61 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Home corners

73.2% 1.37 —
57.5% 1.74 —
41.2% 2.43 —

Away corners

63.3% 1.58 —
45.8% 2.18 —
30.3% 3.3 —

Cards

75.4% 1.33 —
57.6% 1.74 —
40.4% 2.47 —
26.0% 3.85 —
42.4% 2.36 —
59.6% 1.68 —
74.0% 1.35 —

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