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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-24

Boston Utd – Barrow

Home 25% 3.95 fair
Draw 24% 4.25 fair
Away 51% 1.95 fair
Expected Goals2.91
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.555%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 39.8% → 25.3% -14.5 pp
Draw 27.2% → 23.5% -3.7 pp
Away 33.0% → 51.2% +18.2 pp
Over 2.5 42.5% → 55.5% +13.0 pp
Both teams to score 48.0% → 56.6% +8.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.37 → 2.91 +0.54
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.91
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.25 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.09 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

25.3% 3.95 —
23.5% 4.25 —
51.2% 1.95 —
48.8% 2.05 —
74.7% 1.34 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Half-time result

25.0% 3.99 —
54.9% 1.82 —
20.1% 4.98 —

Half-time double chance

79.9% 1.25 —
75.0% 1.33 —
45.1% 2.22 —

Both halves

5.0% 20.08 —

HT/FT

13.2% 7.56 —
6.0% 16.61 —
5.8% 17.27 —
11.0% 9.06 —
14.9% 6.71 —
28.9% 3.46 —
16.5% 6.07 —

HT/FT double chance

45.2% 2.21 —
59.0% 1.7 —
55.6% 1.8 —
22.9% 4.37 —
36.5% 2.74 —
30.9% 3.24 —
29.6% 3.38 —
57.5% 1.74 —
62.9% 1.59 —

Total goals

94.4% 1.06 —
78.4% 1.28 —
55.5% 1.8 —
33.2% 3.01 —
21.6% 4.63 —
44.5% 2.25 —
66.8% 1.5 —

1st-half goals

52.1% 1.92 —
17.2% 5.82 —

Home team goals

68.6% 1.46 —
32.1% 3.11 —

Away team goals

82.5% 1.21 —
52.0% 1.92 —

Both to score

56.6% 1.77 —

Corners

84.6% 1.18 —
76.1% 1.31 —
66.2% 1.51 —
55.5% 1.8 —
44.9% 2.23 —
23.9% 4.19 —
33.8% 2.96 —
44.5% 2.25 —
55.1% 1.81 —

Home corners

77.6% 1.29 —
62.9% 1.59 —
46.8% 2.14 —

Away corners

79.0% 1.27 —
64.6% 1.55 —
49.4% 2.03 —

Cards

84.8% 1.18 —
70.5% 1.42 —
54.4% 1.84 —
39.3% 2.54 —
29.5% 3.39 —
45.6% 2.2 —
60.7% 1.65 —

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