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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-20

Venezia – Monza

Home 35% 2.89 fair
Draw 27% 3.71 fair
Away 38% 2.6 fair
Expected Goals2.51
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 33.7% → 34.6% +0.9 pp
Draw 25.9% → 27.0% +1.1 pp
Away 40.4% → 38.5% -2.0 pp
Over 2.5 50.8% → 45.6% -5.2 pp
Both teams to score 54.9% → 51.0% -3.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.7 → 2.51 -0.19
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.9 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.03 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

34.6% 2.89 —
27.0% 3.71 —
38.5% 2.6 —
61.6% 1.62 —
65.4% 1.53 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Half-time result

23.0% 4.34 —
47.9% 2.09 —
29.0% 3.44 —

Half-time double chance

71.0% 1.41 —
77.0% 1.3 —
52.1% 1.92 —

Both halves

7.7% 13.04 —

HT/FT

16.7% 6.0 —
4.5% 22.47 —
15.6% 6.4 —
16.9% 5.92 —
15.4% 6.49 —
5.6% 17.83 —
21.1% 4.73 —

HT/FT double chance

53.7% 1.86 —
49.6% 2.02 —
38.6% 2.59 —
29.0% 3.45 —
42.0% 2.38 —
33.1% 3.02 —
40.4% 2.47 —
54.5% 1.84 —
59.1% 1.69 —

Total goals

91.8% 1.09 —
71.1% 1.41 —
45.6% 2.19 —
24.6% 4.07 —
28.9% 3.46 —
54.4% 1.84 —
75.4% 1.33 —

1st-half goals

61.0% 1.64 —
24.0% 4.16 —

Home team goals

70.2% 1.42 —
34.4% 2.91 —

Away team goals

72.5% 1.38 —
36.6% 2.73 —

Both to score

51.0% 1.96 —

Corners

61.6% 1.62 —
50.4% 1.98 —
39.5% 2.53 —
30.1% 3.32 —
22.4% 4.47 —
49.6% 2.02 —
60.5% 1.65 —
69.9% 1.43 —
77.6% 1.29 —

Home corners

60.8% 1.64 —
44.7% 2.24 —
30.6% 3.26 —

Away corners

59.3% 1.69 —
43.5% 2.3 —
29.6% 3.38 —

Cards

72.8% 1.37 —
55.0% 1.82 —
37.2% 2.69 —
24.0% 4.17 —
45.0% 2.22 —
62.8% 1.59 —
76.0% 1.32 —

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