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Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-20

Genoa – Udinese

Home 41% 2.43 fair
Draw 28% 3.55 fair
Away 31% 3.26 fair
Expected Goals2.37
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.4% → 41.1% +2.7 pp
Draw 27.3% → 28.2% +0.9 pp
Away 34.3% → 30.7% -3.6 pp
Over 2.5 42.4% → 42.3% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 47.9% → 48.3% +0.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.38 → 2.37 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.17 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.41 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

41.1% 2.43 —
28.2% 3.55 —
30.7% 3.26 —
69.3% 1.44 —
58.9% 1.7 —
71.8% 1.39 —

Half-time result

30.1% 3.32 —
44.1% 2.27 —
25.7% 3.89 —

Half-time double chance

74.3% 1.35 —
69.9% 1.43 —
55.9% 1.79 —

Both halves

10.4% 9.6 —

HT/FT

24.0% 4.16 —
4.6% 21.93 —
15.0% 6.64 —
18.2% 5.51 —
10.9% 9.14 —
5.4% 18.38 —
18.2% 5.49 —

HT/FT double chance

61.8% 1.62 —
51.6% 1.94 —
35.2% 2.84 —
36.1% 2.77 —
45.9% 2.18 —
29.8% 3.36 —
40.7% 2.46 —
46.3% 2.16 —
52.7% 1.9 —

Total goals

90.6% 1.1 —
68.8% 1.45 —
42.3% 2.36 —
21.4% 4.67 —
31.2% 3.2 —
57.7% 1.73 —
78.6% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

66.6% 1.5 —
29.9% 3.34 —

Home team goals

72.9% 1.37 —
37.0% 2.7 —

Away team goals

66.0% 1.51 —
29.4% 3.4 —

Both to score

48.3% 2.07 —

Corners

65.1% 1.54 —
53.9% 1.86 —
42.9% 2.33 —
33.2% 3.01 —
24.6% 4.06 —
46.1% 2.17 —
57.1% 1.75 —
66.8% 1.5 —
75.3% 1.33 —

Home corners

62.2% 1.61 —
46.2% 2.16 —
32.3% 3.1 —

Away corners

62.2% 1.61 —
46.2% 2.16 —
32.1% 3.11 —

Cards

77.1% 1.3 —
60.6% 1.65 —
44.1% 2.27 —
29.7% 3.37 —
39.4% 2.54 —
55.9% 1.79 —
70.3% 1.42 —

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