Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-20
Fiorentina – Bologna
Home
35%
2.83 fair
Draw
26%
3.9 fair
Away
39%
2.56 fair
Expected Goals2.73
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.551%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
35.7%
→
35.3%
-0.4 pp
Draw
25.9%
→
25.6%
-0.2 pp
Away
38.4%
→
39.1%
+0.7 pp
Over 2.5
48.8%
→
51.3%
+2.5 pp
Both teams to score
53.2%
→
55.4%
+2.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.62 →
2.73
+0.11
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — |
Both halves
| 8.6% | 11.7 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.95 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.51 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.32 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.19 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.89 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — |
Total goals
| 93.5% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — |
Both to score
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — |
Corners
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.72 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — |
Home corners
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — |
Away corners
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.14 | — |
Cards
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds