Fixtures / SerieA / 2026-12-20
Atalanta – Napoli
Home
34%
2.91 fair
Draw
26%
3.81 fair
Away
39%
2.54 fair
Expected Goals2.59
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
35.6%
→
34.4%
-1.2 pp
Draw
27.4%
→
26.3%
-1.1 pp
Away
37.1%
→
39.4%
+2.3 pp
Over 2.5
44.2%
→
47.9%
+3.6 pp
Both teams to score
50.1%
→
52.3%
+2.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.45 →
2.59
+0.14
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Both halves
| 7.4% | 13.46 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.6% | 5.09 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.14 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 7.97 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.18 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.62 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.62 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — |
Total goals
| 92.4% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — |
Home team goals
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — |
Away team goals
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Both to score
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — |
Corners
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
Home corners
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
Away corners
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — |
Cards
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.92 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 87.4% | 1.14 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds