Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-20
Rio Ave – Benfica
Home
8%
12.97 fair
Draw
14%
7.35 fair
Away
79%
1.27 fair
Expected Goals3.44
Most Likely Score0-2
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.567%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
8.0%
→
7.7%
-0.3 pp
Draw
13.9%
→
13.6%
-0.3 pp
Away
78.2%
→
78.7%
+0.5 pp
Over 2.5
65.7%
→
67.0%
+1.4 pp
Both teams to score
48.2%
→
48.3%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.4 →
3.44
+0.04
Most Likely Score
0-2
→
0-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 7.7% | 12.97 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.35 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 92.3% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — |
Half-time result
| 8.6% | 11.63 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 91.4% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — |
HT/FT
| 3.5% | 28.99 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.33 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.33 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.02 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 9.7% | 10.35 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.51 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — |
Total goals
| 96.7% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Home team goals
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 6.0 | — |
Away team goals
| 93.2% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Both to score
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — |
Corners
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — |
Home corners
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.97 | — |
Away corners
| 88.5% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — |
Cards
| 82.3% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds