Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-20
Nacional – Moreirense
Home
37%
2.73 fair
Draw
28%
3.53 fair
Away
35%
2.85 fair
Expected Goals2.32
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.541%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
37.9%
→
36.6%
-1.3 pp
Draw
27.6%
→
28.3%
+0.8 pp
Away
34.5%
→
35.1%
+0.5 pp
Over 2.5
43.2%
→
41.4%
-1.7 pp
Both teams to score
49.0%
→
47.7%
-1.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.41 →
2.32
-0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — |
Both halves
| 7.6% | 13.07 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.2% | 5.81 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.99 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.11 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.87 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.22 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.43 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.17 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — |
Total goals
| 90.0% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.86 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — |
Both to score
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — |
Corners
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — |
Away corners
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — |
Cards
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds