Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-20
Estrela – Maritimo
Home
52%
1.91 fair
Draw
23%
4.31 fair
Away
24%
4.11 fair
Expected Goals2.98
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.1%
→
52.4%
+11.3 pp
Draw
25.3%
→
23.2%
-2.1 pp
Away
33.6%
→
24.4%
-9.3 pp
Over 2.5
53.0%
→
57.4%
+4.4 pp
Both teams to score
56.5%
→
57.8%
+1.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.81 →
2.98
+0.17
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.85 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — |
Both halves
| 16.5% | 6.06 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.49 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.53 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.58 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.88 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.72 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
Total goals
| 94.6% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.98 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — |
Both to score
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — |
Home corners
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — |
Away corners
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — |
Cards
| 82.3% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds