Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-20
Arouca – Casa Pia
Home
53%
1.88 fair
Draw
25%
3.99 fair
Away
22%
4.6 fair
Expected Goals2.51
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.546%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
55.0%
→
53.2%
-1.8 pp
Draw
24.1%
→
25.1%
+0.9 pp
Away
20.9%
→
21.7%
+0.9 pp
Over 2.5
49.4%
→
46.1%
-3.3 pp
Both teams to score
49.7%
→
47.6%
-2.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.65 →
2.51
-0.14
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Both halves
| 15.7% | 6.36 | — |
HT/FT
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.55 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.35 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.75 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.13 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.23 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.78 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — |
Total goals
| 91.7% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — |
Away team goals
| 60.1% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — |
Both to score
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — |
Corners
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — |
Away corners
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.84 | — |
Cards
| 86.7% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds