Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-12-20
Alverca – Gil Vicente
Home
34%
2.94 fair
Draw
29%
3.42 fair
Away
37%
2.73 fair
Expected Goals2.19
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.537%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
35.9%
→
34.0%
-1.9 pp
Draw
28.2%
→
29.3%
+1.1 pp
Away
35.9%
→
36.7%
+0.8 pp
Over 2.5
41.7%
→
36.9%
-4.8 pp
Both teams to score
47.8%
→
44.2%
-3.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.35 →
2.19
-0.16
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — |
Half-time result
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Both halves
| 7.0% | 14.39 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.19 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.64 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.02 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.03 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.48 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — |
Total goals
| 89.0% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.59 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — |
1st-half goals
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — |
Home team goals
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.27 | — |
Both to score
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Corners
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Away corners
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — |
Cards
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds