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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-12-20

Sabadell – Las Palmas

Home 37% 2.74 fair
Draw 34% 2.95 fair
Away 30% 3.39 fair
Expected Goals1.73
Most Likely Score0-0
Both teams to score33%
Over 2.525%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 44.9% → 36.6% -8.4 pp
Draw 31.5% → 33.9% +2.5 pp
Away 23.6% → 29.5% +5.9 pp
Over 2.5 27.4% → 25.1% -2.3 pp
Both teams to score 33.8% → 33.2% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 1.82 → 1.73 -0.09
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 0-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.76 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.1 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.6% 2.74 —
33.9% 2.95 —
29.5% 3.39 —
70.5% 1.42 —
63.4% 1.58 —
66.1% 1.51 —

Half-time result

22.3% 4.49 —
47.8% 2.09 —
30.0% 3.34 —

Half-time double chance

70.0% 1.43 —
77.7% 1.29 —
52.2% 1.91 —

Both halves

7.4% 13.44 —

HT/FT

19.4% 5.15 —
15.4% 6.49 —
25.0% 4.0 —
7.4% 13.55 —
6.4% 15.53 —
21.8% 4.59 —

HT/FT double chance

62.3% 1.6 —
42.5% 2.35 —
35.2% 2.84 —
30.1% 3.32 —
43.3% 2.31 —
31.1% 3.22 —
48.5% 2.06 —
46.3% 2.16 —
60.6% 1.65 —

Total goals

82.2% 1.22 —
51.8% 1.93 —
25.1% 3.99 —
9.8% 10.26 —
48.2% 2.07 —
74.9% 1.33 —
90.2% 1.11 —

1st-half goals

61.0% 1.64 —
24.0% 4.17 —

Home team goals

60.4% 1.66 —
24.1% 4.15 —

Away team goals

55.1% 1.82 —
18.9% 5.28 —

Both to score

33.2% 3.01 —

Corners

62.0% 1.61 —
49.8% 2.01 —
38.5% 2.6 —
28.2% 3.54 —
20.2% 4.96 —
50.2% 1.99 —
61.5% 1.63 —
71.8% 1.39 —
79.8% 1.25 —

Home corners

71.7% 1.4 —
56.8% 1.76 —
42.0% 2.38 —

Away corners

45.8% 2.18 —
29.0% 3.45 —
17.1% 5.85 —

Cards

84.7% 1.18 —
71.0% 1.41 —
54.9% 1.82 —
39.9% 2.51 —
29.0% 3.44 —
45.1% 2.22 —
60.1% 1.66 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds