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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-12-20

Castellon – Granada

Home 56% 1.78 fair
Draw 23% 4.35 fair
Away 21% 4.78 fair
Expected Goals2.93
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 56.5% → 56.0% -0.4 pp
Draw 22.5% → 23.0% +0.5 pp
Away 21.0% → 20.9% -0.0 pp
Over 2.5 56.4% → 56.3% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 55.5% → 55.6% +0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.96 → 2.93 -0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.43 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.37 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

56.0% 1.78 —
23.0% 4.35 —
20.9% 4.78 —
79.1% 1.26 —
44.0% 2.28 —
77.0% 1.3 —

Half-time result

46.5% 2.15 —
35.8% 2.79 —
17.6% 5.67 —

Half-time double chance

82.4% 1.21 —
53.5% 1.87 —
64.2% 1.56 —

Both halves

19.1% 5.22 —

HT/FT

39.3% 2.54 —
5.5% 18.05 —
14.5% 6.9 —
13.5% 7.42 —
7.8% 12.74 —
4.0% 25.13 —
11.4% 8.75 —

HT/FT double chance

72.9% 1.37 —
63.3% 1.58 —
28.5% 3.5 —
51.1% 1.96 —
54.6% 1.83 —
22.6% 4.42 —
34.2% 2.93 —
36.0% 2.78 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Total goals

94.3% 1.06 —
78.7% 1.27 —
56.3% 1.78 —
34.2% 2.93 —
21.3% 4.7 —
43.7% 2.29 —
65.8% 1.52 —

1st-half goals

76.6% 1.3 —
43.5% 2.3 —

Home team goals

84.3% 1.19 —
55.7% 1.79 —

Away team goals

65.6% 1.52 —
28.6% 3.49 —

Both to score

55.6% 1.8 —

Corners

68.5% 1.46 —
56.7% 1.76 —
45.6% 2.19 —
35.2% 2.84 —
26.5% 3.77 —
43.3% 2.31 —
54.4% 1.84 —
64.8% 1.54 —
73.5% 1.36 —

Home corners

79.9% 1.25 —
66.6% 1.5 —
52.5% 1.9 —

Away corners

43.9% 2.28 —
27.1% 3.7 —
15.3% 6.53 —

Cards

86.3% 1.16 —
73.7% 1.36 —
58.8% 1.7 —
43.8% 2.28 —
26.4% 3.8 —
41.2% 2.42 —
56.2% 1.78 —

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