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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-12-20

Burgos – Girona

Home 28% 3.62 fair
Draw 30% 3.3 fair
Away 42% 2.37 fair
Expected Goals2.03
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score40%
Over 2.533%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 27.0% → 27.6% +0.6 pp
Draw 29.2% → 30.3% +1.1 pp
Away 43.8% → 42.1% -1.7 pp
Over 2.5 35.3% → 33.2% -2.2 pp
Both teams to score 41.6% → 40.2% -1.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.11 → 2.03 -0.08
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.24 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.75 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

27.6% 3.62 —
30.3% 3.3 —
42.1% 2.37 —
57.9% 1.73 —
72.4% 1.38 —
69.7% 1.43 —

Half-time result

10.3% 9.69 —
41.2% 2.43 —
48.5% 2.06 —

Half-time double chance

51.5% 1.94 —
89.7% 1.11 —
58.8% 1.7 —

Both halves

3.7% 26.81 —

HT/FT

8.7% 11.44 —
15.4% 6.51 —
19.5% 5.12 —
6.3% 15.9 —
3.5% 28.57 —
9.4% 10.64 —
35.6% 2.81 —

HT/FT double chance

45.0% 2.22 —
30.6% 3.26 —
27.4% 3.65 —
23.0% 4.35 —
48.1% 2.08 —
46.6% 2.15 —
47.8% 2.09 —
60.8% 1.65 —
70.8% 1.41 —

Total goals

86.8% 1.15 —
60.2% 1.66 —
33.2% 3.02 —
14.6% 6.85 —
39.8% 2.51 —
66.8% 1.5 —
85.4% 1.17 —

1st-half goals

66.5% 1.5 —
29.9% 3.34 —

Home team goals

58.3% 1.71 —
21.8% 4.59 —

Away team goals

68.7% 1.46 —
32.1% 3.12 —

Both to score

40.2% 2.49 —

Corners

55.8% 1.79 —
43.7% 2.29 —
32.7% 3.06 —
23.1% 4.34 —
15.7% 6.36 —
56.3% 1.77 —
67.3% 1.49 —
76.9% 1.3 —
84.3% 1.19 —

Home corners

61.4% 1.63 —
44.3% 2.26 —
29.4% 3.4 —

Away corners

50.6% 1.97 —
33.6% 2.98 —
20.7% 4.84 —

Cards

89.0% 1.12 —
78.1% 1.28 —
63.9% 1.56 —
49.2% 2.03 —
21.9% 4.57 —
36.0% 2.77 —
50.8% 1.97 —

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