Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-12-20
Almeria – Valladolid
Home
63%
1.58 fair
Draw
20%
4.95 fair
Away
17%
6.04 fair
Expected Goals3.29
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.564%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
63.3%
→
63.2%
-0.1 pp
Draw
19.6%
→
20.2%
+0.6 pp
Away
17.1%
→
16.6%
-0.6 pp
Over 2.5
62.6%
→
63.5%
+0.9 pp
Both teams to score
57.4%
→
58.4%
+1.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.22 →
3.29
+0.07
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.95 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.04 | — | |||
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.45 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
Both halves
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — |
HT/FT
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.12 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.89 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.3 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.67 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.41 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.37 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.09 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — |
Total goals
| 96.1% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.7% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.15 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — |
1st-half goals
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — |
Home team goals
| 89.0% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — |
Both to score
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — |
Corners
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — |
Home corners
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.42 | — |
Away corners
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
Cards
| 91.0% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds