Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-20
Vallecano – Malaga
Home
64%
1.55 fair
Draw
22%
4.46 fair
Away
13%
7.66 fair
Expected Goals2.36
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score38%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
68.0%
→
64.5%
-3.5 pp
Draw
20.9%
→
22.4%
+1.6 pp
Away
11.2%
→
13.1%
+1.9 pp
Over 2.5
44.5%
→
42.2%
-2.3 pp
Both teams to score
37.2%
→
38.3%
+1.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.45 →
2.36
-0.09
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.66 | — | |||
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 9.3% | 10.79 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 90.7% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — |
Both halves
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — |
HT/FT
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.28 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.75 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.59 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.1 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.15 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.09 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — |
Total goals
| 90.6% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.3% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — |
Away team goals
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.65 | — |
Both to score
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — |
Corners
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
Home corners
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — |
Away corners
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — |
Cards
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds