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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-20

Valencia – Espanol

Home 41% 2.42 fair
Draw 28% 3.56 fair
Away 31% 3.27 fair
Expected Goals2.26
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.540%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.3% → 41.3% -1.9 pp
Draw 27.5% → 28.1% +0.6 pp
Away 29.3% → 30.6% +1.3 pp
Over 2.5 41.1% → 39.5% -1.6 pp
Both teams to score 47.1% → 45.3% -1.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.33 → 2.26 -0.07
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.5 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.31 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

41.3% 2.42 —
28.1% 3.56 —
30.6% 3.27 —
69.4% 1.44 —
58.7% 1.7 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Half-time result

27.3% 3.67 —
54.5% 1.84 —
18.3% 5.47 —

Half-time double chance

81.7% 1.22 —
72.8% 1.37 —
45.5% 2.2 —

Both halves

9.8% 10.18 —

HT/FT

20.5% 4.89 —
4.9% 20.62 —
19.0% 5.27 —
19.5% 5.14 —
16.0% 6.24 —
3.8% 26.53 —
12.6% 7.92 —

HT/FT double chance

63.7% 1.57 —
57.4% 1.74 —
42.3% 2.36 —
30.9% 3.23 —
36.9% 2.71 —
23.2% 4.31 —
44.1% 2.27 —
49.5% 2.02 —
51.9% 1.93 —

Total goals

89.5% 1.12 —
65.8% 1.52 —
39.5% 2.53 —
19.5% 5.14 —
34.2% 2.92 —
60.5% 1.65 —
80.5% 1.24 —

1st-half goals

52.1% 1.92 —
16.8% 5.94 —

Home team goals

71.0% 1.41 —
35.5% 2.81 —

Away team goals

63.8% 1.57 —
26.9% 3.72 —

Both to score

45.3% 2.21 —

Corners

68.8% 1.45 —
57.6% 1.74 —
46.2% 2.17 —
36.0% 2.78 —
27.0% 3.71 —
42.4% 2.36 —
53.8% 1.86 —
64.0% 1.56 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Home corners

75.3% 1.33 —
61.3% 1.63 —
46.4% 2.15 —

Away corners

52.3% 1.91 —
35.5% 2.82 —
22.2% 4.5 —

Cards

83.6% 1.2 —
70.8% 1.41 —
56.4% 1.77 —
42.3% 2.37 —
29.2% 3.43 —
43.6% 2.29 —
57.7% 1.73 —

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