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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-20

Sevilla – Santander

Home 64% 1.55 fair
Draw 17% 5.83 fair
Away 19% 5.4 fair
Expected Goals4.02
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score70%
Over 2.576%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 65.1% → 64.3% -0.7 pp
Draw 16.7% → 17.1% +0.5 pp
Away 18.2% → 18.5% +0.3 pp
Over 2.5 80.7% → 76.1% -4.5 pp
Both teams to score 72.9% → 69.6% -3.3 pp
Expected Goals 4.34 → 4.02 -0.32
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.09 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.9 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

64.3% 1.55 —
17.1% 5.83 —
18.5% 5.4 —
81.5% 1.23 —
35.7% 2.8 —
82.9% 1.21 —

Half-time result

53.7% 1.86 —
26.4% 3.79 —
19.9% 5.04 —

Half-time double chance

80.1% 1.25 —
46.3% 2.16 —
73.6% 1.36 —

Both halves

26.8% 3.74 —

HT/FT

48.1% 2.08 —
4.2% 23.53 —
13.0% 7.68 —
8.2% 12.15 —
5.1% 19.42 —
3.2% 31.65 —
4.7% 21.41 —
12.0% 8.32 —

HT/FT double chance

73.6% 1.36 —
67.7% 1.48 —
19.0% 5.27 —
60.2% 1.66 —
64.7% 1.55 —
22.3% 4.48 —
29.1% 3.44 —
33.4% 3.0 —
30.1% 3.32 —

Total goals

90.9% 1.1 —
76.1% 1.31 —
57.2% 1.75 —
9.1% 11.0 —
23.9% 4.19 —
42.8% 2.34 —

1st-half goals

89.5% 1.12 —
66.7% 1.5 —

Home team goals

92.6% 1.08 —
73.8% 1.36 —

Away team goals

75.0% 1.33 —
39.7% 2.52 —

Both to score

69.6% 1.44 —

Corners

73.5% 1.36 —
63.4% 1.58 —
52.6% 1.9 —
42.4% 2.36 —
32.8% 3.05 —
36.6% 2.73 —
47.4% 2.11 —
57.6% 1.74 —
67.2% 1.49 —

Home corners

80.6% 1.24 —
68.0% 1.47 —
54.3% 1.84 —

Away corners

52.4% 1.91 —
35.6% 2.81 —
22.3% 4.48 —

Cards

87.6% 1.14 —
76.6% 1.3 —
63.5% 1.57 —
50.1% 1.99 —
23.4% 4.28 —
36.4% 2.74 —
49.9% 2.01 —

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