Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-20
Sevilla – Santander
Home
64%
1.55 fair
Draw
17%
5.83 fair
Away
19%
5.4 fair
Expected Goals4.02
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score70%
Over 2.576%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.1%
→
64.3%
-0.7 pp
Draw
16.7%
→
17.1%
+0.5 pp
Away
18.2%
→
18.5%
+0.3 pp
Over 2.5
80.7%
→
76.1%
-4.5 pp
Both teams to score
72.9%
→
69.6%
-3.3 pp
Expected Goals
4.34 →
4.02
-0.32
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.83 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.4 | — | |||
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — |
Half-time result
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.04 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Both halves
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — |
HT/FT
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.53 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.68 | — | |||
| 8.2% | 12.15 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.42 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.65 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.41 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.27 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — |
Total goals
| 90.9% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 11.0 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — |
1st-half goals
| 89.5% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — |
Home team goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — |
Both to score
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — |
Corners
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
Away corners
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — |
Cards
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds