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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-20

Osasuna – Villarreal

Home 30% 3.35 fair
Draw 25% 4.07 fair
Away 46% 2.19 fair
Expected Goals2.9
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.555%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 30.9% → 29.8% -1.1 pp
Draw 24.3% → 24.6% +0.2 pp
Away 44.7% → 45.6% +0.9 pp
Over 2.5 55.2% → 55.2% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 58.1% → 58.1% -0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.9 → 2.9 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.17 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.02 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.8% 3.35 —
24.6% 4.07 —
45.6% 2.19 —
54.4% 1.84 —
70.2% 1.43 —
75.5% 1.33 —

Half-time result

29.0% 3.45 —
39.6% 2.52 —
31.4% 3.19 —

Half-time double chance

68.7% 1.46 —
71.0% 1.41 —
60.4% 1.66 —

Both halves

6.8% 14.77 —

HT/FT

19.1% 5.24 —
6.4% 15.6 —
3.5% 28.57 —
9.4% 10.66 —
13.9% 7.2 —
16.4% 6.1 —
4.2% 23.53 —
25.7% 3.89 —

HT/FT double chance

48.8% 2.05 —
48.4% 2.07 —
40.2% 2.49 —
31.1% 3.21 —
49.7% 2.01 —
39.9% 2.51 —
28.9% 3.46 —
52.9% 1.89 —
60.2% 1.66 —

Total goals

94.6% 1.06 —
78.5% 1.27 —
55.2% 1.81 —
33.1% 3.02 —
21.4% 4.66 —
44.8% 2.23 —
66.9% 1.49 —

1st-half goals

73.6% 1.36 —
38.5% 2.6 —

Home team goals

72.1% 1.39 —
36.4% 2.75 —

Away team goals

80.5% 1.24 —
48.1% 2.08 —

Both to score

58.1% 1.72 —

Corners

65.5% 1.53 —
54.1% 1.85 —
42.9% 2.33 —
32.9% 3.04 —
24.1% 4.15 —
45.9% 2.18 —
57.1% 1.75 —
67.1% 1.49 —
75.9% 1.32 —

Home corners

64.1% 1.56 —
47.9% 2.09 —
33.5% 2.98 —

Away corners

61.4% 1.63 —
45.1% 2.22 —
30.6% 3.26 —

Cards

81.2% 1.23 —
67.3% 1.49 —
52.4% 1.91 —
38.2% 2.61 —
32.7% 3.06 —
47.6% 2.1 —
61.8% 1.62 —

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