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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-20

La Coruna – Real Madrid

Home 20% 5.0 fair
Draw 24% 4.18 fair
Away 56% 1.78 fair
Expected Goals2.62
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 19.8% → 20.0% +0.3 pp
Draw 21.8% → 23.9% +2.1 pp
Away 58.5% → 56.1% -2.4 pp
Over 2.5 59.1% → 48.7% -10.4 pp
Both teams to score 56.8% → 49.4% -7.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.05 → 2.62 -0.43
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.62
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.15 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.96 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

20.0% 5.0 —
23.9% 4.18 —
56.1% 1.78 —
43.9% 2.28 —
80.0% 1.25 —
76.1% 1.31 —

Half-time result

10.6% 9.46 —
39.2% 2.55 —
50.2% 1.99 —

Half-time double chance

49.8% 2.01 —
89.4% 1.12 —
60.8% 1.64 —

HT/FT

7.0% 14.22 —
10.7% 9.38 —
14.4% 6.93 —
14.1% 7.09 —
7.0% 14.29 —
40.9% 2.44 —

HT/FT double chance

34.6% 2.89 —
32.9% 3.04 —
32.1% 3.12 —
18.8% 5.31 —
51.3% 1.95 —
51.5% 1.94 —
34.4% 2.91 —
68.0% 1.47 —
76.4% 1.31 —

Total goals

93.0% 1.08 —
74.1% 1.35 —
48.7% 2.05 —
26.6% 3.77 —
25.9% 3.87 —
51.3% 1.95 —
73.4% 1.36 —

1st-half goals

68.9% 1.45 —
32.7% 3.06 —

Home team goals

60.2% 1.66 —
23.6% 4.23 —

Away team goals

82.1% 1.22 —
50.8% 1.97 —

Both to score

49.4% 2.03 —

Corners

74.0% 1.35 —
64.2% 1.56 —
53.4% 1.87 —
42.9% 2.33 —
33.7% 2.97 —
35.8% 2.8 —
46.6% 2.15 —
57.1% 1.75 —
66.3% 1.51 —

Home corners

64.5% 1.55 —
48.7% 2.05 —
34.3% 2.91 —

Away corners

73.0% 1.37 —
58.7% 1.7 —
44.5% 2.25 —

Cards

80.8% 1.24 —
66.7% 1.5 —
51.5% 1.94 —
37.6% 2.66 —
33.3% 3.0 —
48.5% 2.06 —
62.4% 1.6 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds