Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-12-20
Celta – Ath Madrid
Home
28%
3.59 fair
Draw
27%
3.75 fair
Away
45%
2.2 fair
Expected Goals2.51
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.546%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
30.0%
→
27.9%
-2.2 pp
Draw
25.8%
→
26.7%
+0.9 pp
Away
44.2%
→
45.4%
+1.3 pp
Over 2.5
48.9%
→
46.3%
-2.6 pp
Both teams to score
52.9%
→
50.6%
-2.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.64 →
2.51
-0.13
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
Both halves
| 5.5% | 18.15 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.3% | 7.01 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.37 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.5 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.98 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.85 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.21 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
Total goals
| 91.8% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — |
Home team goals
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — |
Both to score
| 50.6% | 1.97 | — |
Corners
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.46 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — |
Home corners
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.55 | — |
Away corners
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — |
Cards
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds